Ultimately Twitter subsists on the fallacious premise of much social media – that people can and will invest enormous amounts of time and fragment their lives in the pursuit of voice, connection, and community that has no depth, no resonance, and no sustainability. Social media is very good at certain things. User comments on products purchased at Amazon are phenomenally useful. Blogging sites such as The Huffington Post that assume, and to some degree require, a high bar for the quality of its citizen voices, perform an incredibly valuable service in behalf of the “new journalism”, particularly as the old journalism issues forth its death rattle. But if most of us received Twitter posts in our email inboxes, even on an opt-in basis, we would quickly declare it to be indistinguishable from spam.
Recently, epidemiologists have learned they can rapidly identify and track flu epidemics using Google. And we may end up learning that Twitter as a communications organism can also offer similar benefits for identifying the “viral” transmission and movement of illness as well as political events, business cycles, cultural phenomena, and even environmental change. But we do not need Twitter to perform these functions, and at best Twitter can only provide very primitive signals of change or disruption, while other technologies and communications methods exist to more fully vet, call out, and confirm meaning on significant events.
Ouch! Apart from straying into “it’s just people saying what they had for breakfast” he pretty much nails it. Tweets are so short that there’s very little way to derive meaning from them, even when you slice and dice the firehose with search terms and tweetdeck. Twitter’s greatest strength is also its greatest weakness.
The next step is longer form blogging systems like tumblr and posterous, but really that just puts us back to where we started – these systems are essentially blogger integrated with Google reader. The only real change is that twitter has made very short posts acceptable.
Me, I’m going to stick around on twitter to see how things develop. I expect most of my tweets will be piped in from http://matthall.posterous.com though.
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